Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

English Español Deutsch Français 日本語

RAFAEL Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at November 10, 2024 9:00pm

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq

future radar imagery - my future radar

current radar loop

If you're looking for other US radar loops, check out Radar Monster.

future radar imagery

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

RAFAEL Land Hazards

• SURF - Swells will continue impacting portions of the northern and western Gulf Coast through Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

RAFAEL Tracker

+−

Toner

Toner Lite

Watercolor

Blue Marble

Open Street Map

NHC outlook areas

spaghetti models

Satellite - East Pacific - Wide View

Satellite - Indian

Satellite - South Pacific

Satellite - Northwest Pacific - Wide View

wind (knots)
< 35
35+
64+
83+
96+
113+
137+

Leaflet | © OpenStreetMap contributors

RAFAEL Satellite Loop

RAFAEL Alternate Tracking Map

RAFAEL Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for RAFAEL can be found here:

RAFAEL spaghetti models page »

RAFAEL Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone RAFAEL Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone RAFAEL Public Advisory

000
WTNT33 KNHC 102032
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Rafael Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182024
300 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
 
...RAFAEL DEGENERATES TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 91.3W
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Rafael 
was located near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 91.3 West. The 
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 3 mph (6 km/h). 
The remnant low is expected to meander over the central Gulf of 
Mexico through tonight, then turn toward the south and 
south-southwest on Monday and Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with 
higher gusts. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday 
night.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under 
AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at 
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
SURF: Swells will continue impacting portions of the northern and
western Gulf Coast through Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on Rafael. Additional information on this system can be found 
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under 
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone RAFAEL Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT43 KNHC 102032
TCDAT3
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Rafael Discussion Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182024
300 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
 
The limited convection that Rafael was producing in its eastern 
semicircle has collapsed. Surface observations, visible satellite 
images, and a 1530z ASCAT-C pass show the surface circulation has 
become poorly defined and very elongated in the north-south 
direction. Since Rafael does not possess a well-defined center or 
organized convection, it no longer meets the definition of a 
tropical cyclone. This will be the final NHC advisory on Rafael.

The remnant low is expected to drift eastward over the central Gulf 
of Mexico tonight, then turn toward the south and southwest on 
Monday and Tuesday. The forecast calls for dissipation by Tuesday 
night, but this could occur even sooner if current trends continue. 
The elevated rip current risk along the northern and western Gulf 
Coast will likely continue into Monday. For more information, see 
products from your local NWS forecast office.

Additional information can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by 
the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO 
header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current 
conditions along portions of the Gulf Coast through Monday.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  10/2100Z 26.1N  91.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  11/0600Z 25.8N  90.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  11/1800Z 25.1N  90.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  12/0600Z 24.1N  91.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  12/1800Z 23.2N  92.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart

RAFAEL storm path from NHC

site by Hayley Croft

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.