Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
5 Current Status
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / MPH at
5 Land Hazards
5 Tracker
5 Satellite Loop
5 Alternate Tracking Map
5 Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for 5 can be found here:
5 Watches and Warnings
ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 5 Tropical Cyclone Update
ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 5 Public Advisory
ZCZC 860 WTIO30 FMEE 021230 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER: 13/5/20232024 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 5 2.A POSITION 2024/02/02 AT 1200 UTC: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4 S / 69.3 E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 8 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 1.5/2.5/W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM): 28 KT NE: 280 SE: 335 SW: 480 NW: 0 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1009 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM): 12H: 2024/02/03 00 UTC: 22.8 S / 71.4 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 280 SE: 335 SW: 390 NW: 0 24H: 2024/02/03 12 UTC: 26.9 S / 74.0 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 350 SE: 405 SW: 280 NW: 185 34 KT NE: 165 SE: 165 SW: 0 NW: 0 36H: 2024/02/04 00 UTC: 32.1 S / 76.5 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 520 SE: 630 SW: 370 NW: 260 34 KT NE: 280 SE: 295 SW: 260 NW: 165 48H: 2024/02/04 12 UTC: 36.1 S / 77.8 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 575 SE: 610 SW: 480 NW: 345 34 KT NE: 305 SE: 315 SW: 280 NW: 205 60H: 2024/02/05 00 UTC: 39.4 S / 80.3 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 665 SE: 650 SW: 445 NW: 370 34 KT NE: 295 SE: 390 SW: 315 NW: 205 72H: 2024/02/05 12 UTC: 41.5 S / 84.6 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 555 SE: 595 SW: 445 NW: 405 34 KT NE: 295 SE: 370 SW: 315 NW: 280 2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK: NIL 2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: T=1.5 CI=2.5 AFTER ITS TEMPORARY INTENSIFICATION ON THURSDAY NIGHT, THE SYSTEM HAS NOW CLEARLY BROKEN UP THIS FRIDAY BETWEEN 06 AND 12UTC. DUE TO INCREASING WEST-NORTH-WESTERLY SHEAR AND MASSIVE DRY AIR ADVECTION FROM THE WEST, DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW LOCATED MORE 100 NM EAST OF AN EXPOSED AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CENTER, BROKEN UP INTO SEVERAL SMALL SECONDARY VORTICES. DUE TO INERTIA, THE INTENSITY IS LEFT AT 30KT AND THE SYSTEM IS CLASSIFIED AS A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER. ITS DESTRUCTURATION AND ASYMMETRIZATION SEEM TO SHOW THAT IT IS BEGINNING TO LOSE ITS FULLY TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THEN SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD, STEARED BY A MID-TROPOSPHERE TROUGH TO ITS SOUTH-WEST THEN WEST. IT WILL THEREFORE GRADUALLY LEAVE THE TROPICAL DOMAIN AND EXIT TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN MID-LATITUDES BY SUNDAY EVENING, PASSING CLOSE TO THE ISLAND OF AMSTERDAM. IN TERMS OF INTENSITY, INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH AN UPPER TROUGH SHOULD MAKE THE SYSTEM BECOME POST-TROPICAL OVERNIGHT, THEN IT SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGH BAROCLINIC PROCESSES FROM SATURDAY ONWARDS WHILE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH WINDS ABOVE GALE INTENSITY AND A WIDENING OF THE AREA OF STRONG WINDS. EXPECTED IMPACTS ON AMSTERDAM ISLAND : - GALE FORCE WINDS (35-40KT LIKELY, TEMPORARILY 45KT POSSIBLE) FROM SUNDAY 06UTC UNTIL MONDAY 06UTC. - WAVE HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 METERS ON SUNDAY AND UNTIL MONDAY MORNING (PEAK ON SUNDAY EVENING). LAST BULLETIN ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION ON THIS SYSTEM, UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE AVAILABLE IN THE DAILY BULLETIN ON TROPICAL WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN ISSUED AT 12Z (AWIO20 FMEE).= NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 5 Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
5 storm path from meteo france
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | -20.4, 69.3 | ||
| 30 knots | -22.8, 71.4 | ||
| 35 knots | -26.9, 74.0 | ||
| 40 knots | -32.1, 76.5 | ||
| 45 knots | -36.1, 77.8 | ||
| 45 knots | -39.4, 80.3 | ||
| 45 knots | -41.5, 84.6 |
site by Hayley Croft
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